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UPSTREAM EP ADVISORS
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When AI Challenges the Engineer: From Deterministic Screening to Smarter Acquisition Decisions
Should a buyer commit the full acquisition price before reducing geological uncertainty?
introducing Real Option Valuation to evaluate staged investment, appraisal strategies, and capital-at-risk under geological uncertainty.
exploring optimized acquisition structures that combine Decision Tree Analysis, contingent bids, staged capital commitments, and negotiated purchase prices designed to better allocate uncertainty between buyer and seller.
Tariq Siddiqui,
Jul 234 min read


Before the Data Room: A Faster Way to Screen Unconventional Shale Deals
Developed a pre-data-room unconventional shale economic screening platform that combines traditional petroleum engineering workflows with Agentic AI review.
The purpose is practical: help private equity groups, investment bankers, angel investors, small oil companies, and consultants form an early technical and financial view of an asset before committing major time and due-diligence cost.
Tariq Siddiqui,
Jul 63 min read
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