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Beyond P10/P50/P90: AI, Vectored Uncertainty and the Future of Investment Decisions
Knowing, uncertainty is not enough! Monte Carlo Simulation has been doing that for decades, what is important; knowing how widely NPV may vary does not tell us which way the world is moving—or why.
I think of this distinction as scalar versus vectored uncertainty.
Scalar uncertainty asks: How much might the outcome vary?
Vectored uncertainty asks: What plausible future are we moving toward, what forces are driving us there, and what would tell us that direction is b
Tariq Siddiqui,
Aug 272 min read


Before the Data Room, the Deal Is Already Being Shaped
By Tariq Siddiqui My previous article introduced Stratacore™ V1.0 as an AI-assisted pre-data-room screening platform for unconventional shale acquisitions. That article focused on a simple question: Should this opportunity enter the data room? This article is about the deeper reason I built the tool. The Problem I Saw in Real A&D Work During my years in oil and gas, including work in subsurface, capital projects, new business development, M&A, and CCS, I saw a recurring probl
Tariq Siddiqui,
Jul 293 min read


When AI Challenges the Engineer: From Deterministic Screening to Smarter Acquisition Decisions
Should a buyer commit the full acquisition price before reducing geological uncertainty?
introducing Real Option Valuation to evaluate staged investment, appraisal strategies, and capital-at-risk under geological uncertainty.
exploring optimized acquisition structures that combine Decision Tree Analysis, contingent bids, staged capital commitments, and negotiated purchase prices designed to better allocate uncertainty between buyer and seller.
Tariq Siddiqui,
Jul 234 min read


Before the Data Room: A Faster Way to Screen Unconventional Shale Deals
Developed a pre-data-room unconventional shale economic screening platform that combines traditional petroleum engineering workflows with Agentic AI review.
The purpose is practical: help private equity groups, investment bankers, angel investors, small oil companies, and consultants form an early technical and financial view of an asset before committing major time and due-diligence cost.
Tariq Siddiqui,
Jul 63 min read


Why CCS Projects Struggle Long Before Final Investment Decision?
For investors, developers, and project sponsors, the question is simple:
How do we identify the most promising opportunities before spending millions of dollars on detailed studies, permitting, and engineering?
This challenge led to the development of Stratacore™, an AI-assisted CCS Opportunity Screening & Development Advisory Platform.
Tariq Siddiqui,
Jun 32 min read


Agentic AI Meets CCS : Building a Smarter Project Screening Tool /Decisions
Over the past few weeks, I’ve been experimenting at the intersection of my core domain—carbon capture and storage (CCS)—and a rapidly evolving concept in AI: agentic systems.
Tariq Siddiqui,
Apr 232 min read


Class VI Well Compliance: A Must-Know Guide for Executives
This quick reference guide is designed for executives overseeing projects that involve CO2 injection under EPA.
Tariq Siddiqui,
Mar 5, 20253 min read


Emissions Down, Profits Up: Gulf Coast CO2 Capture Opportunity
Mature capture technologies offer a a potential opportunity to reduce emissions in industrial sectors, particularly along the Texas Gulf Coa
Tariq Siddiqui,
Feb 23, 20254 min read


Navigating CCS Hub Development: A Strategic Guide to Project Management
To effectively manage resources and enable strategic decision-making, a structured, stage-gated project management framework is essential.
Tariq Siddiqui,
Feb 16, 20254 min read


Road to Commercial CCS Ventures: Business Models to Scale CCS
his article explores CCS's maturity across its value chain and how the right business models can drive venture success.
Tariq Siddiqui,
Feb 2, 20255 min read


Gulf Coast Geology: The Ideal Hub for CO2 Storage
The Gulf Coast of Texas represents a prime opportunity for large-scale carbon sequestration.
Tariq Siddiqui,
Jan 25, 20254 min read


How to Fast-Track Class VI Permitting: Six Tips To Avoid Delays
By: Tariq Siddiqui The Gulf Coast region is experiencing a significant surge in Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) projects, with 121 Class...
Tariq Siddiqui,
Jan 21, 20253 min read


Building a Profitable CCS Project: How to Integrate Technical Data into Strategic Business Decisions
BY Tariq Siddiqui UEPA INTEGRATING DATA IS A KEY The successful deployment of Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) technologies is critical...
Tariq Siddiqui,
Jan 16, 20255 min read


Ready, Set, Go: Positioning Your Business for Success in Texas and Gulf Coast CCUS
Are CCS project developers and service providers prepared to meet the stringent requirements set by the EPA’s UIC program of Class VI permit
Tariq Siddiqui,
Jan 6, 20252 min read


Capture Ready: Fast-Track Your CCS Site Evaluations
By: Tariq Siddiqui A quick site screening helps narrow down potential CO2 injection sites early in capture-ready projects. This article...
Tariq Siddiqui,
May 27, 20242 min read


Decoding Class VI Permits: Clear & Simple Guide
By Tariq Siddiqui In this article, we provide an overview of the application process for obtaining a Class VI well permit for CO2...
Tariq Siddiqui,
May 14, 20242 min read


Fueling the Future: Small & Mid-Scale FLNG Solutions For Stranded Gas Opportunities
By: Tariq Siddiqui LNG & ENERGY SECURITY The war in Europe has put energy security in the fore-front. LNG supplies from US have played a...
Tariq Siddiqui,
Jan 8, 20242 min read


Geological Sequestration - For Sustainable Tomorrow
Nature-Based CO2 storage solution are part of the bigger jigsaw solution space. Both, NBS and geological storage have their benefits,...
Tariq Siddiqui,
Jul 11, 20232 min read


CCS Project Development: Key Enabler for CCS Pathway
By Tariq Siddiqui Upstream EP Advisors The US Emission Challenge The industrial sector in the US accounts for nearly 30% of US primary...
Tariq Siddiqui,
Jun 1, 20233 min read


CO2 Resource Management – First Step to a Successful Storage Project
BY: Tariq Siddiqui UEPA - Upstream EP Advisors Why Storage Projects? Anthropogenic carbon-dioxide (CO2) storage projects are key to...
Tariq Siddiqui,
Nov 15, 20223 min read
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